What is a contract worth?

A hospital can have hundreds of payer contracts, each with its own rates, carve-outs and escalators. When nobody can say what a claim should have paid, underpayments look exactly like payments. ContractIQ, the platform I lead at Infinia ML, closes that gap for Aspirion and its clients.

This page is an illustrative model, not the ContractIQ interface. The contract and claim are invented, and the defaults come from published industry figures.

Follow one claim

  1. The contract

    Inpatient stays are paid at a base rate of $9,800 multiplied by the MS-DRG relative weight. The base rate increases 3% on each contract anniversary.

    Payer A (synthetic), now in year 2 of the agreement.

  2. Terms, understood

    Payment method
    Base rate × DRG weight
    Base rate
    $9,800
    Escalator
    3% each anniversary
  3. A claim arrives

    MS-DRG 470, major hip or knee joint replacement. Relative weight 1.90.

  4. Expected payment

    $9,800 × 1.03 × 1.90 = $19,179

  5. Variance flagged

    Paid $18,620, short $559

    The payer kept paying the year-one rate. On one claim it's small. Across thousands of claims and hundreds of contracts, it's a budget line.

Scale it to a health system

in net patient revenue and payer contracts, all invented.

of net patient revenue. Published estimates run 1–3%.
of the variance found
. Most fall between $1,001 and $2,500.
hours, times a year (your assumption)
(your assumption)
Underpaid each year
Recovered each year
Claims corrected
Analyst hours returned

Who it helps

Show the math
  • Underpaid = net patient revenue × underpayment rate
  • Recovered = underpaid × share recovered
  • Claims corrected = recovered ÷ typical recovery per claim
  • Hours returned = contracts × hours per re-model × re-models per year × share automated

Sources: hospitals lose an estimated 1–3% of net patient revenue to commercial underpayments (Becker's Hospital Review, cited in Revecore's underpayment benchmarks); recovery programs typically yield 0.25–1.25% of net patient revenue (same source); most underpayment recoveries fall between $1,001 and $2,500 (Aspirion client data, HFMA Oregon presentation, 2026). Analyst-hour figures are assumptions for you to set.